Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 15.837259 17.921017 20.245779 23.044570 26.339616 30.116372 34.802584
2025-10-12 13.390351 16.148319 19.482451 23.858083 29.521158 36.703693 46.666957
2025-10-19 11.412713 14.326380 18.033924 23.183014 30.287323 39.956903 54.496962
2025-10-26 10.507893 13.650227 17.829537 23.930623 32.847567 45.801661 66.834125
2025-11-02 9.471854 12.636644 16.994422 23.614356 33.753697 49.303535 76.259723
2025-11-09 8.605756 11.743828 16.194908 23.194008 34.365802 52.352506 85.467463
2025-11-16 7.926141 11.037523 15.570186 22.925371 35.122257 55.678041 95.777508
2025-11-23 7.259830 10.283420 14.788926 22.299650 35.173541 57.761695 104.178276
2025-11-30 6.795563 9.788177 14.348135 22.156466 35.994744 61.296314 116.189031
2025-12-07 6.212941 9.063262 13.480867 21.203179 35.248566 61.775444 121.885911
2025-12-14 5.652147 8.332197 12.544940 20.037317 33.965776 61.009224 124.641063
2025-12-21 5.279010 7.873134 12.015273 19.525716 33.836542 62.512255 132.989391
2025-12-28 5.453550 8.320952 13.043209 21.941366 39.762469 77.860421 180.489592
2026-01-04 5.316914 8.244560 13.173502 22.722695 42.558996 87.068886 215.750371
2026-01-11 4.969335 7.786088 12.596374 22.085927 42.278323 89.077345 231.066716
2026-01-18 4.853187 7.714953 12.700439 22.789837 45.006999 98.962386 274.751244
2026-01-25 4.604924 7.395835 12.327360 22.492127 45.438763 103.116221 301.386839
2026-02-01 4.364406 7.075030 11.926849 22.096363 45.586347 106.556130 327.115820
2026-02-08 4.161500 6.809074 11.609677 21.843383 46.039385 110.950369 358.667684
2026-02-15 3.932747 6.483026 11.155642 21.253967 45.589055 112.677553 380.474294
2026-02-22 3.774717 6.277618 10.920333 21.119057 46.263936 117.913610 420.228140
2026-03-01 3.540440 5.918789 10.362849 20.220541 44.859838 116.487289 429.198402
2026-03-08 3.298732 5.535342 9.736533 19.120889 42.810342 112.684911 425.485913